La Cámara de Comercio de Maracaibo, a través de la Unidad de Información y Estadística, presenta este miércoles su acostumbrado estudio de la Encuesta de Coyuntura Económica correspondiente al segundo trimestre de 2021, con el objetivo de conocer la percepción y expectativas de los miembros del gremio en relación a la marcha de las empresas y la situación de la economía de la capital zuliana.
El estudio demostró que un 49 % de entrevistados percibió una reducción en sus ventas teniendo un porcentaje menor respecto al trimestre anterior. Sin embargo, un 45 % de las empresas encuestadas informó que los precios de sus productos y servicios aumentaron.
La encuentra también reveló que el 52 % de los empresarios consultados declaró una reducción dela nómina de sus empresas el periodo estudiado. Aun cuando hubo una leve mejora en la contratación de capital humano con respecto al primer trimestre del año.
Así mismo, un 65 % de las empresas expresó que la actividad económica del municipio fue desfavorable. Sigue la percepción negativa que tienen los empresarios sobre la marcha de sus empresas.
Por otra parte, 43 % expresó que la inversión de sus empresas fue menor. Estos resultados muestran que se mantiene la contracción en los niveles de inversión en la ciudad a causa de los diversos factores que afectan la actividad empresarial en el municipio.
En este contexto, quienes realizaron inversiones expresaron que su principal rubro de inversión fue el de inventarios (31 %). Vale destacar que un 21 % de los encuestados dijo haber invertido en infraestructura, y un 17 % en capital humano. En este sentido, el 70 % se financió con su flujo de caja, un 16 % con aporte de capital extranjero y un 10 % con capital nacional.
En el ítem de las expectativas económicas se estableció que:
El 47 % opinó que la actividad económica, disminuirá. Esto significa que las expectativas de los empresarios de Maracaibo, siguen siendo negativas.
El 40 % tiene la expectativa que su producción o ventas se mantendrán y un 32 % que disminuirán.
El 45 % consideró que los precios de sus productos o servicios aumentarán para el próximo trimestre. Se mantiene la expectativa de aumento de los precios de bienes y servicios por parte de las empresas, fenómeno encadenado a la hiperinflación.
El 69 % estima que el número empleados de sus empresas se mantendrá igual en el futuro cercano.
En cuanto a la inversión el 43 % de los entrevistados planea mantener su nivel actual de inversiones para el próximo trimestre.
El 45 % pronostica que la marcha de sus empresas se mantendrá igual para el próximo trimestre.
En relación al ítem de los retos que debe enfrentar el Gobierno en la actualidad, un 36 % de los empresarios encuestados manifestaron que debe hacerse un mayor acercamiento con el sector privado de la economía, mientras que un 32 % consideró que se debe generar un mayor crecimiento económico.
De igual forma, el documento revela que el principal obstáculo que afectó la actividad económica de las empresas marabinas fueron: la debilidad de la demanda (39 %), la falta de combustible (17%) y la incertidumbre política (17 %).
Índice de Confianza Empresarial
El índice de Confianza Empresarial se situó en -34 puntos porcentuales. El empresariado de la ciudad se mantiene pesimista frente a la coyuntura económica tras registrar una leve profundización de 2 puntos porcentuales en su nivel de desconfianza en comparación al trimestre anterior.
Es importante destacar que las expectativas de los empresarios, permiten anticipar el desenvolvimiento de la actividad económica por cuanto, las mismas son fundamentales a la hora de determinar el aumento de la producción, la inversión y el empleo.
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